Bishop Dwenger
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #20
New Haven Semi-State Rank #3
West Noble Regional Rank #2
Northrop Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 18th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 2.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Indiana All-Catholic Championship West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 307 345 365 319 327 336 328 392 386 376 330 291
Team Adjusted Rating 318 338 319 327 336 328 392 300 376 330 291
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Indiana All-Catholic Championship West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
22  Erin Strzelecki 10 18:50 18:33 19:07 18:45 18:44 18:59 18:31 19:32 19:04 18:37 18:46
163  Susie Beeber 10 20:05 20:47 20:23 20:35 20:44 21:22 20:34 20:16 20:54 20:39 19:56
191  Katie Nix 10 20:14 20:15 20:16 20:18 20:15 20:09 20:13 19:55 20:17 20:23 20:20
196  Aileen Delaney 9 20:17 20:08 20:38 20:28 20:21 20:30 20:36 20:35 20:27 20:15 20:05 20:09
255  Nora Steele 9 20:33 20:34 20:39 20:29 20:59 20:32 20:35 21:01 20:24 21:02 20:38 20:24
343  Alex Ebetino 11 20:51 20:54 20:47 20:33 20:54 20:48 20:27 21:05 20:53 20:53 20:54 21:12
365  Anna Morris 10 20:56 20:36 20:40 20:25 20:28 20:26 20:58 21:05 21:08 21:29 21:51
509  Sam Weldon 12 21:20 21:31 20:58 21:50 21:09 20:42 21:38 21:08 21:45
727  Julia Broerman 9 21:57 21:56 22:07 22:05 21:43 22:04 21:51
894  Hannah Ewing 11 22:20 22:20 22:19 22:05 23:15 22:09
1,014  Megan Palmer 11 22:40 22:45 23:14 22:41 22:47 22:40 22:11
Julia Eckrich 10 23:37 22:45 23:12 23:21 23:46 24:13 23:57
Isabel Knight 11 23:43 23:07 23:54 24:36 23:16 23:53 23:39
Josie McIntyre 9 23:46 23:56 24:07 23:29 23:32 25:15 23:12
Lauryn Federspiel 12 23:57 24:07 24:08 23:55 23:17 24:09 24:05
Maggie Schroeder 12 24:12 24:16 23:59 23:38 24:09 25:11 24:13




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 17.9 422 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.9 2.5 4.7 5.5 7.4 9.4 10.2 10.9 10.8 10.3 7.8 8.1 5.3 3.3
Semi-State 100% 3.7 148 29.4 23.5 19.8 12.0 8.5 4.2 2.3 0.6
Regionals 100% 2.8 88 50.2 27.7 14.7 7.4
Sectionals 100% 2.7 66 48.6 34.0 17.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 100% 22.9 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.1 1.9 2.4 2.3 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.7 3.3 3.1 99.5%
Susie Beeber 100% 126.3 4.5%
Katie Nix 100% 137.6 1.4%
Aileen Delaney 100% 142.2 0.6%
Nora Steele 100% 160.6 0.0%
Alex Ebetino 100% 179.4 0.0%
Anna Morris 100% 182.9 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 100% 6.2 0.4 2.5 5.4 11.1 13.3 15.1 13.8 12.5 8.8 5.4 4.4 2.7 2.3 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Susie Beeber 100% 32.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.5 2.4 3.7 3.2 100.0%
Katie Nix 100% 39.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.2 99.9%
Aileen Delaney 100% 41.7 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.2 99.8%
Nora Steele 100% 55.4 0.1 0.1 97.9%
Alex Ebetino 100% 72.8 83.5%
Anna Morris 100% 78.2 76.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 100% 3.9 0.3 6.4 17.4 30.1 22.8 11.5 5.1 3.2 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Susie Beeber 100% 15.9 0.2 0.6 1.9 3.1 5.5 6.8 9.0 12.0 12.7 9.9 9.0 6.5 6.0 4.4 2.9 2.7 1.6 1.7 100.0%
Katie Nix 100% 18.9 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.7 5.3 7.3 7.7 8.1 8.2 9.5 9.0 6.8 6.0 6.0 4.8 3.0 100.0%
Aileen Delaney 100% 19.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.4 3.5 5.1 6.1 7.4 9.2 9.3 7.5 7.3 8.2 5.7 5.0 4.1 100.0%
Nora Steele 100% 25.9 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 2.1 2.2 2.7 4.6 6.0 5.5 6.1 6.4 5.9 100.0%
Alex Ebetino 100% 33.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.2 0.9 1.8 2.6 100.0%
Anna Morris 100% 35.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Strzelecki 1.7 9.8 55.7 19.5 7.5 4.0 2.6 0.8 0.3
Susie Beeber 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.3 5.4 8.3 10.7 12.0 14.0 11.8 9.3 7.2 5.7 4.2 2.3 2.1 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.4
Katie Nix 14.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.5 4.4 7.5 10.5 11.3 10.0 10.5 7.7 7.8 6.5 5.1 4.1 3.1 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.9
Aileen Delaney 14.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.4 6.0 7.5 9.2 10.7 11.6 9.0 8.4 7.5 4.7 4.9 3.7 3.5 2.2 2.0 1.5
Nora Steele 19.9 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.8 3.8 4.9 6.1 8.1 7.2 7.5 9.1 6.9 7.3 7.5 6.8 6.5
Alex Ebetino 25.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.3 2.7 2.8 3.7 5.7 5.7 8.8 8.3
Anna Morris 27.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.8 3.6 4.5 6.0 7.1